My Definitely Not Confident Oscar Predictions

My movie super bowl is finally here! The Oscars  this year have more unpredictable categories than usual.  So without further ado here are my nominations

Best Picture: This category is usually said and done at this point, but not this year.  There is a three way race for this and either The Revenant, The Big Short, or Spotlight could win. 

Will Win: The Revenant

Should win: Room

Should have been nominated: Inside Out

Best Actor: Done and done

Will win: Leonardo DiCaprio

Should win: of the nominees probably Leo, but I could make the case for Michael Fassbender

Should have been nominated Jacob Tremblay Room

Best Actress: Also fairly done

Will win: Brie Larson Room

Should win: Brie Larson Room 

Should have been nominated: Rooney Mara Carol. In this category.  

Best Supporting Actor: Probably not the sure thing some people think

Will win: Sylvester Stallone

Should win: probably Sylvester Stallone, one of Hollywood's greatest comebacks ever, but I'd cheer hard for Mark Ruffalo winning.  

Should've been nominated: Idris Elba. He's so good in Beasts of No Nation  And this one nomination could have softened the whole #Oscarsowhite controversy 

Best Supporting Actress: a lot of fraud in this category with at least two leads up for a supporting award.  

Will win: Alicia Vikander The Danish Girl, but she's a lead. She's one of the two Danish Girls. 

Should win: I like Rooney Mara's performance the best, but Jennifer Jason Leigh has the best supporting role.  

Should've been nominated: Joan Allen Room

Best Director

Will win: Alejandro González Iñárritu The Revenant

Should Win: Lenny Abrahamson Room

Should've been nominated: Todd Haynes Carol

Best Original Screenplay

Will win: Spotlight

Should Win: Inside Out

Should've been nominated: There is no huge injustice here

Best Adapted Screeplay

Will win: The Big Short

Should win: Room

Should be nominated: no major snubs here either.  

Others that I predict will win

Best Animated feature: Inside Out

Cinematography: The Revenant

Costumes: Carol

Documentary: Amy

Documentary Short: Claude Lanzmann: Spectre of the Shoah

Editing: The Revenant

Foreign Language Film: Son of Saul

Makeup and Hair: Mad Max Fury Road

Original Score: The Hateful Eight

Original Song: Til it Happens to You

Production Design: Mad Max: Fury Road

Animated Short: Bear Story

Live Action Short: Day One

Sound Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road

Sound Mixing: Mad Max: Fury Road

Visual Effects: The Revenant